Latest
MarketMap™
Bitcoin Is Not Leading. It Is Catching Up.
The laggard rallies last. That is not the start of something. That is the end of something.
MarketMap™
The Fed sits on the horns of a dilemma: a stalling job market, wages trailing inflation, and an unemployment rate improving for the wrong reason.
MarketMap™
The best risk management is taking no risk at all. The great traders hunt asymmetry: little risk, large potential reward.
Strategy and Tactics
Strategy & Tactics
October 15, 2026: Take profits in BOIL October 16 calls into strength and propose a one- to two-week roll. Updates on Nasdaq, copper, Bitcoin, Japan and debt-market shorts.
Strategy & Tactics
The market rewards being right before it is comfortable to be right. That gap is where every outsized gain lives.
the Contrary Thinker™, Strategy and Tactics, April 20, 2026.
Education
MoreOn Volatility
Volatility is the first derivative of price, and it is the condition every signal operates inside.
Cognitive Homogenization and the Contrarian Edge
Machine-written analysis is narrowing the range of published opinion, which makes the other side of the trade scarcer and better paid.
EWT, the Great Phenomenological Enterprise
Elliott Wave read as description rather than prophecy, and what it is actually good for.
Predicting the Black Swan Financial Event
The claim that the outlier is forecastable in condition even when it is not forecastable in date.
Fractals and Market Self-Similarity
Self-similarity across timeframes, why degree is the whole point, and where the idea stops being useful.