The men selling the fear own the cure
The voices warning loudest about artificial intelligence hold the licences and wrote the rules. Follow the incentives, not the fear.
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MarketMap™
The textbook has not confirmed this decline. That silence is the edge, because by the time it signs off, the crowd is already late.
MarketMap™
The September 10 to 14 window called the turn. Now the downtrend enters its third wave, the fast leg that strands the crowd.
MarketMap™
Today may be one of the last rallies worth selling. Our timing models turn the collective mood sour into Friday.
MarketMap™
Four convictions carry the highest confidence now, led by an eighty-four-year cycle that points to monetary failure in a sovereign state.
MarketMap™
The 18.6-year lunar node and McMinn's 9/56 matrix describe one structure from opposite ends. Here is what it says about the dollar.
Strategy & Tactics
The key for asymmetrical profitability shows up in trend dynamics. It shows up in trading days that are hit with an accelerant, something unexpected
MarketMap™
Warsh refused forward guidance at Jackson Hole and named what he watches: Treasuries, the dollar, credit spreads, commodities. So should you.
On Volatility
Volatility is the first derivative of price, and it is the condition every signal operates inside.
Cognitive Homogenization and the Contrarian Edge
Machine-written analysis is narrowing the range of published opinion, which makes the other side of the trade scarcer and better paid.
EWT, the Great Phenomenological Enterprise
Elliott Wave read as description rather than prophecy, and what it is actually good for.
Predicting the Black Swan Financial Event
The claim that the outlier is forecastable in condition even when it is not forecastable in date.
Fractals and Market Self-Similarity
Self-similarity across timeframes, why degree is the whole point, and where the idea stops being useful.
Time, the Natural Order of Things, and Cycles
Why time is the ordering principle, why change clusters at natural demarcations, and what cycles can and cannot carry.